BEHAVIOR IN UNCERTAIN ENVIRONMENTS, AND PRONE TO RISK OR CAUTION
Journal Title: Problems of Psychology in the 21st Century - Year 2012, Vol 3, Issue 7
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to appreciate the possibility to use the method of study of probabilistic forecasting for staff selection needs. Indicators of probabilistic forecasting, prone to risk were studied in a stochastic environment. This is a pilot study, because a well known technique: Bayesian logic applied to decision making with probability inference - using the knowledge of prior events to predict future events - in the new modification was used. The novelty lies in the fact that, besides the opportunity to study the prognostic abilities of the brain in a situation of uncertainty, was made an attempt to study the impact on the forecasting process of emotions associated with possible monetary gain or loss. Differences in effectiveness and dynamics of probabilistic activity were revealed in persons with differing extent of gain and temperament type.
Authors and Affiliations
Ilona Kalva, Dmitry Shyryaev
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP31982
- DOI -
- Views 373
- Downloads 0
pREDICTING ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT: THE ROLE OF MOTIVATION AND LEARNING STRATEGIES
The aim of this study consists in testing a predictive model of academic achievement including motivation and learning strategies as predictors. Motivation is defned as the energy and the direction of behaviors; it is...
ADAPTATION PHENOMENOLOGICAL APPROACH FOR STUDYING TEENAGE ORPHANS’ OPINIONS ABOUT THEMSELVES AND OTHERS
The investigation of teenage orphans’ opinions of both themselves and other people within phenomenological point of view means researching that in their self structure in the broader context than their self – consciousne...
WELL-BEING AS CONCEPT IN PSYCHOLOGY OF LATVIA
The aim of the research is to analyze the psychological problems of the new generation in Latvia at the present moment. The currently existing psychological issues are inherited from the 20s and 30s of the previous cent...
VICTIM-STEREOTYPES OF POSTWAREXPELLEES AND THEIR SOCIAL IMPACTS: SOME REMARKS
Individual or collective coping with stereotypes - as actors or victims - belongs to human history, and shows different expressions, such as “Black and White” in Africa and America, “Jews”, “Sinti and Roma”, and “East...
EXAMINING ADULT’S IDENTITY STATUSES: ADAPTIVE VS. MALADAPTIVE DIMENSION
To achieve the status of ego identity remains the most important challenge for the adolescence period and consequently is a challenge for developmental psychologists too. The vast majority of studies focus on understan...