Estimation of investment potential of Ukraine
Journal Title: Формування ринкових відносин в Україні. Збірник наукових праць - Year 2018, Vol 12, Issue 12
Abstract
The subject of the study is the methodological basis for determining the reasonable need of the Ukrainian economy in annual capital investments. The purpose of the study is to determine and compare the potential needs and actual volumes of capital investments in the development of the country’s economy, to create conditions for minimizing the gap. Research methods. General scientific and special methods are used in the article: comparative analysis, logical–structural, analytical; systems analisys. Results of work. It was assessed the article the available and necessary volumes of investments in accelerated economic development, analyzed the correlation of macroeconomic conditions, volumes of investments and GDP growth rates, and determined the volume of capital investment deficit. The field of application of results. Economics and management of the national economy, methods and mechanisms of regulation of economic processes and their effectiveness. Conclusions. The real economy’s need for investment depends on the dynamics of GDP growth and macroeconomic conditions. For Ukraine, the capital investment deficit is about 10% of GDP annually. In an optimistic scenario, this could ensure a doubling of economic growth (6–7% per year) and medium– term economic outcomes acceptable to society. The operational source of funds for investments may be the state budget (change of the structure of expenditures) and own funds of enterprises. Scenario condition is a macrofinancial stability (inflation to 6%, fluctuations of the exchange rate – up to 1.5 p. p.
Authors and Affiliations
A. A. SIGAYOV, V. V. KRUHOVYI
Keywords
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