Evaluating the Performance of Forecasting Models for Portfolio Allocation Purposes with Generalized GRACH Method

Journal Title: Advances in Mathematical Finance and Applications - Year 2017, Vol 2, Issue 1

Abstract

Portfolio theory assumes that investors accept risk. This means thatin the equal rate of return on the two assets, the assets were chosenthat have a lower risk level. Modern portfolio theory is accepted byinvestors who believe that they are not cope with the market. Sothey keep many different types of securities in order to access theoptimum efficiency rate that is close to the rate of return on market.One way to control investment risk is establishing the portfolioshares. There are many ways to choose the optimal portfolioshares. Among these methods in this study we use loss functions.For this, we choose all firms from the year2011to the end of 2015that had been a member in the Tehran Stock Exchange. The resultsof this research show that the likelihood functions have the bestperformance in Forecasting the optimal portfolio allocationprob-lem.

Authors and Affiliations

Adel Azar, Mohsen Hamidian, Maryam Saberi, Mohammad Norozi

Keywords

Related Articles

Inflation, Operating Cycle, Cash Holding

The purpose of this paper is to examine the effects of inflation and operating cycle on cash holding in Tehran Stock Exchange in the period 2010 to 2014.The sample is comprised of 103 companies which are selected by syst...

Impact of the Management Performance Evaluation Methods on the Data Quality in Accounting

The impact of the management performance evaluation methods on the information quality in accounting will be studied in this paper. The information plays two roles in the market-oriented economies; first, it allows the i...

Using Genetic Algorithm in Solving Stochastic Programming for Multi-Objective Portfolio Selection in Tehran Stock Exchange

Investor decision making has always been affected by two factors: risk and returns. Considering risk, the investor expects an acceptable return on the investment decision horizon. Accordingly, defining goals and constrai...

Applying Optimized Mathematical Algorithms to Forecast Stock Price Average Accredited Banks in Tehran Stock Exchange and Iran Fara Bourse

The effective role of capital in every country flows through giving guidelines for capital and resources, generalizing companies and sharing development projects with public, and also adding accredited companies stock ma...

Investigating the Effect of Management Entrenchment on Speed of Cash Holding Adjustment in Companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange

In this study, the effect of management entrenchments on the speed of cash holding adjustment in Iran has been investigated. After designing the management entrenchment evaluation indicators, the transaction information...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP476229
  • DOI 10.22034/AMFA.2017.529057
  • Views 104
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Adel Azar, Mohsen Hamidian, Maryam Saberi, Mohammad Norozi (2017). Evaluating the Performance of Forecasting Models for Portfolio Allocation Purposes with Generalized GRACH Method. Advances in Mathematical Finance and Applications, 2(1), 1-7. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-476229