Forecast of the structure of heat supply of Ukraine for the period till 2040
Journal Title: Проблеми загальної енергетики - Year 2016, Vol 0, Issue 1
Abstract
Based on the analysis of the state of heat supply and hypothetical variant of the forecast of economic development of Ukraine, we substantiate the grounds for the reasonable strategy of the development of Ukrainian heating systems for the period till 2040. We propose the rational structure of heat-generating capacities of the country by two scenarios: excluding the occupied territories (AR of Crimea and certain parts of Donetsk and Lugansk regions) and for the whole Ukraine. The development of this branch is proposed to be carried out mainly on the basis of wide using heatpump technologies and alternative types of fuel, which will lead to the reduction of natural gas consumption and heat production by boiler houses. According to scenario 1 (in the case of return of the occupied territories to Ukraine), it is estimated that the volume of heat energy generation in 2040 will reach 439.1 million Gcal. According to scenario 2 (in the case of non-return of the occupied territories to Ukraine), the estimated volume in 2040 will be by 80 million Gcal less.
Authors and Affiliations
Victor Bilodid
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP456127
- DOI 10.15407/pge2016.01.024
- Views 76
- Downloads 0
Dynamic mathematical programming model with stochastic variable for the development of the National Nuclear Power Sector
Economic globalization stipulating the limited capabilities of the State to influence the national markets of fuel and energy resources that consequently leads to the volatility of markets and the introduction of market...
Increase in the economic and ecological parameters of power plants by means of utilization of the ash-slag waste of boilers
In the EU, USA, and a series of developed countries of the world, the ash and slag of power plants are considered as technogenic raw materials for many branches of industry. The systems of pneumatic ash and slag removal...
A system of mathematical models for studying the prospects of functioning and development of gas industry under current conditions
To study the prospects of development of the gas industry, we propose a system of mathematical models that takes into account the considerable uncertainties of external and internal conditions of its operation, the life...
Forecasting fuel and energy consumption levels taking into account energy saving potential in the context of structural changes in the economy
A methodological approach and a mathematical model are presented to forecast the final consumption of fuel and energy resources taking into account the energy saving potential provided by the structural (inter- and intra...
Heat transfer between liquid and air on surface with different shape of dimples
Profiling of the surface of sprinklers of film-type cooling towers in the form of dimples leads to a significant increase in heat transfer between the liquid and surrounding air as compared with a smooth surface. The sha...