How comparing decision outcomes affects subsequent decisions: The carry-over of a comparative mind-set
Journal Title: Judgment and Decision Making - Year 2011, Vol 6, Issue 4
Abstract
In the current paper we investigate how feedback over decision outcomes may affect future decisions. In an experimental study we demonstrate that if people receive feedback over the outcomes they obtained (“factual outcomes”) and the outcomes they would have obtained had they decided differently (“counterfactual outcomes”), they become regret-averse in subsequent decisions. This effect is not only observed when this feedback evoked regret (with counterfactual outcomes being higher than factual outcomes), but even when the feedback evoked no regret (with factual outcomes being equal to counterfactual outcomes). The findings suggest that this effect on subsequent decisions is at least partly due to the transfer of a comparison mind-set triggered in the prior choice.
Authors and Affiliations
Daniela Raeva, Eric van Dijk and Marcel Zeelenberg
Disentangling the effects of alternation rate and maximum run length on judgments of randomness
Binary sequences are characterized by various features. Two of these characteristics—alternation rate and run length—have repeatedly been shown to influence judgments of randomness. The two characteristics, however, have...
Boundary effects in the Marschak-Machina triangle
This paper presents the results of a study that sheds new light on the shape of indifference curves in the Marschak-Machina triangle. The most important observation, obtained non-parametrically, concerns jumps in indiffe...
Cognitive reflection as a predictor of susceptibility to behavioral anomalies
To study the effect of cognitive reflection on behavioral anomalies, we used the cognitive reflection test to measure cognitive reflection. The study was conducted on 395 Iranian university students and shows that subjec...
A hard to read font reduces the causality bias
Previous studies have demonstrated that fluency affects judgment and decision-making. The purpose of the present research was to investigate the effect of perceptual fluency in a causal learning task that usually induces...
The retrospective gambler’s fallacy: Unlikely events, constructing the past, and multiple universes
The gambler’s fallacy (Tune, 1964) refers to the belief that a streak is more likely to end than chance would dictate. In three studies, participants exhibited a retrospective gambler’s fallacy (RGF) in which an event th...