MULTI VARIABLE ROAD FATALITY PREDICTION STUDY IN CITY AREA BY USING ANDREASSEN AND ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWOKS MODEL DEVELOPMENTS IN WEST JAVA, INDONESIA
Journal Title: Academic Research International - Year 2013, Vol 4, Issue 5
Abstract
Data on fatality traffic accident victims has not been fully identified in Indonesia and might have most likely been unreported. Republic of Indonesia Traffic Ordinance Number 22 Year 2009 stated that fatality data must be completed with hospitals’ data. However, the data reported by Republic of Indonesia Police has not been in accordance to the law. It causes the data to be inaccurate and unfit to be referred in the study of road safety. In many countries, researchers have been using population and motor vehicles numbers as variables to predict fatality victims’ number. Those variables are not fit with Indonesian condition that have the vastest areas, the densest population, the longest road infrastructure, and the largest numbers of motor vehicle users in ASEAN countries. The main purpose of the study was to develop better fatality prediction model in line with Indonesian condition. This was done by developing multivariable Andreassen and Artificial Neural Network models. The model was built by using population data taken from 8 cities in West Java Province, Indonesia in 2007-2010. Main results from model validation test are: (1) three variables ANN with one hidden layer prediction model was the best prediction used for to predict fatality numbers; (2) Fatality number was 122.8% bigger than that fatality data reported by Republic of Indonesia Police, that was, 956 people; (3) Andreassen prediction model was unfit to be used in Indonesia. The results were recommended as the newest prediction models to be used in the road safety study in Indonesia.
Authors and Affiliations
Supratman Agus, Bambang Riyanto, Pinardi Koestalam
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP126703
- DOI -
- Views 101
- Downloads 0
THE EFFECT OF NUCLEAR AND JOINT FAMILY SYSTEMS ON ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENTS OF STUDENTS
This research investigates the influence of Nuclear and Joint Family System on the academic achievements of the students of intermediate level. The aim of this research is to explore that if nuclear family setup exerts m...
TRANSFORMATION OF THE CONCEPT OF CHILDHOOD IN TURKEY
This study is on the transformation of the idea of childhood in a peripheral neighborhood of Istanbul where the reference point to understand this transformation is the emergence of a twilight culture in between the tr...
IMPACT OF HOME VIDEO WATCH ON THE ACADEMIC PERFORMANCE OF STUDENTS IN SELECTED PUBLIC SECONDARY SCHOOL IN IDO LGA OF IBADAN METROPOLIS, NIGERIA
The purpose of this study was to examine the joint associations and effects of time watched, time spent, number watched, type watched, parents’ reaction and watch reason on the academic performance of secondary school...
The Effect of Policy of Rural Administration on Customary Villages; Experience of Rural Administration in West Sumatera Indonesia
In nagari, there was a consultative assembly that had existed and had been inherited from generation to generation; this assembly is used to be called as Kerapatan Nagari that holds the highest power. Kerapatan adat Naga...
Relationship between Emotional Intelligence and Learning Strategies of Undergraduate Students
The study aims to see the extent of relationship between the emotional. intelligence and learning. strategies of undergraduate students in public sector universities of Rawalpindi. It is based on co-relational research....