MODELS OF SYNTHESIS OF ALTERNATIVES OF PROGNOSTICATION BY DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE-SCALE OBJECTS
Journal Title: Проблеми і перспективи розвитку підприємництва - Year 2014, Vol 1, Issue 6
Abstract
The work is devoted to modeling the process of selecting the optimal alternative in the set of alternatives that describe the type of multi- graph tree tops which are components of large-scale facilities such as manufacturing, transportation system, economic system and so on. We give an optimal system of choice alternatives on different criteria on the basis of expert assessments. Application of expert estimates is due to the difficulty of object modeling, in which the object is seen as a complex system , whose development can be represented as a series of hypotheses , alternatives. This approach provides a consistent bahatoturove expert survey , in which we get a full set of problems needed to solve the original purpose of the forecast. This paper describes the construction of many alternative forecast graph , which is a reflection of the sets of conditions that obtained by the examination and selection of complete sets of simple one alternative graphs, which provides an algorithm for finding optimal alternatives. These models are mathematical models of qualitative and quantitative analysis can help you get estimates, which can be translated into a plan. The estimation of the number of simple graphs which can be obtained from many alternative forecast graph. Models with the classical form of the optimal features that can be taken as optimum or best alternative according to the criteria for the full set of alternatives that describe forecast graph of the " tree ." The model allows to analyze the influence of different degree on the type of conditions to achieve intermediate goals ( vertices ) according to specified criteria , as well as varying assessments of competence most experts involved in the assessment.
Authors and Affiliations
Viktoria Tvoronovich
Keywords
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