Number preferences in lotteries
Journal Title: Judgment and Decision Making - Year 2016, Vol 11, Issue 3
Abstract
We explore people’s preferences for numbers in large proprietary data sets from two different lottery games. We find that choice is far from uniform, and exhibits some familiar and some new tendencies and biases. Players favor personally meaningful and situationally available numbers, and are attracted towards numbers in the center of the choice form. Frequent players avoid winning numbers from recent draws, whereas infrequent players chase these. Combinations of numbers are formed with an eye for aesthetics, and players tend to spread their numbers relatively evenly across the possible range.
Authors and Affiliations
Tong V. Wang, Rogier J. D. Potter van Loon, Martijn J. van den Assem and Dennie van Dolder
The tide that lifts all focal boats: Asymmetric predictions of ascent and descent in rankings
In six studies, we find evidence for an upward mobility bias, or a tendency to predict that a rise in ranking is more likely than a decline, even in domains where motivation or intention to rise play no role. Although pe...
The price of not putting a price on love
We examine financial challenges of purchasing items that are readily-available yet symbolic of loving relationships. Using weddings and funerals as case studies, we find that people indirectly pay to avoid taboo monetary...
Inferring uncertainty from interval estimates: Effects of alpha level and numeracy
Interval estimates are commonly used to descriptively communicate the degree of uncertainty in numerical values. Conventionally, low alpha levels (e.g., .05) ensure a high probability of capturing the target value betwee...
Investigating intuitive and deliberate processes statistically: The multiple-measure maximum likelihood strategy classification method
One of the core challenges of decision research is to identify individuals’ decision strategies without influencing decision behavior by the method used. Bröder and Schiffer (2003) suggested a method to classify decision...
I can take the risk, but you should be safe: Self-other differences in situations involving physical safety
Prior research on self-other differences involving risk have found that individuals make riskier decisions for others than for the self in situations where risk taking is valued. We expand this research by examining whet...