Predicting soccer matches: A reassessment of the benefit of unconscious thinking

Journal Title: Judgment and Decision Making - Year 2010, Vol 5, Issue 2

Abstract

We evaluate Dijksterhuis, Bos, van der Leij, & van Baaren (2009), Psychological Science, on the benefit of unconscious thinking in predicting the outcomes of soccer matches. We conclude that the evidence that unconscious thinking helps experts to make better predictions is tenuous both from theoretical and statistical perspectives.

Authors and Affiliations

Claudia González-Vallejo and Nathaniel Phillips

Keywords

Related Articles

The effect of incomplete information on the compromise effect

Most research on the compromise effect focuses on how consumers make their decisions in a complete information scenario; however, consumers generally lack sufficient information when they make purchase decisions. This re...

Prefer a cash slap in your face over credit for halva

We investigated how frequency and amount of punishment affect the decision making of Iranian subjects. In our first experiment, performing a computer-based Persian version of the Iowa Gambling Task (IGT), our subjects sc...

The power of moral words: Loaded language generates framing effects in the extreme dictator game

Understanding whether preferences are sensitive to the frame has been a major topic of debate in the last decades. For example, several works have explored whether the dictator game in the give frame gives rise to a diff...

Do discounts mitigate numerological superstitions? Evidence from the Russian real estate market

In this paper I investigate the impact of numerological superstitions and discounts’ effect on the buyers’ behavior in the apartment market using actual sales data. Based on the dataset from Moscow primary real estate ma...

Inferring uncertainty from interval estimates: Effects of alpha level and numeracy

Interval estimates are commonly used to descriptively communicate the degree of uncertainty in numerical values. Conventionally, low alpha levels (e.g., .05) ensure a high probability of capturing the target value betwee...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP677738
  • DOI -
  • Views 124
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Claudia González-Vallejo and Nathaniel Phillips (2010). Predicting soccer matches: A reassessment of the benefit of unconscious thinking. Judgment and Decision Making, 5(2), -. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-677738