Prediction of pedal cyclists and pedestrian fatalities from total monthly accidents and registered private car numbers

Journal Title: Archives of Transport - Year 2015, Vol 34, Issue 2

Abstract

Accident prevention is relatively a complex issue considering the effectiveness of the injury prevention technologies as well as more detailed assessment of the complex interactions between the road condition, vehicle and human factor. For many years, highway agencies and vehicle manufacturers showed great efforts to reduce the injuries resulting from the vehicle crashes. Many researchers used a broad range of methods to evaluate the impact of several factors on traffic accidents and injuries. Recent developments lead up to capable for determining the effects of these factors. According to World Health Organization (WHO), cyclists and pedestrians comprise respectively 1.6% and 16.3% in traffic crash fatalities in 2013. Also in Turkey crash fatalities for pedestrian and cyclists are respectively 20.6% and 3% according to Turkish Statistical Instıtute data in 2013. The relationship between cycling and pedestrian rates and injury rates over time is also unknown. This paper aims to predict the crash severity with the traffic injury data of the Konya City in Turkey by implementing the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Regression Trees (RT) and Multiple Linear Regression modelling (MLRM) method.<br/><br/>

Authors and Affiliations

Kiarash Ghasemlou, Metin Mutlu Aydin, Mehmet Sinan Yıldırım

Keywords

Related Articles

ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE RUSSIAN ARCTIC SPACE

The article characterizes the growing interest of the Arctic states and the world community to the development of the vast natural resources in the harsh environment of the Arctic, including the development of programs a...

Selected Tools for Risk Analysis in Logistics Processes

As each organization aims at managing effective logistics processes, risk factors can and should be controlled through proper system of risk management. Implementation of complex approach to risk management allows for th...

LOGISTICS WASTE UTILIZATION SYSTEM IN THE STEEL PLANT

An important problem associated with the production of steel products is the need to ensure adequate protection of the environment. Throughout the technological foundry formed about 90 types of waste, while a significant...

INDIRECT OBSERVATION OF REROUTING PHENOMENA IN TRAFFIC NETWORKS – CASE STUDY OF WARSAW BRIDGES

In this paper we propose estimation procedure in which traffic flows resulting from rerouting model are matched with traffic flows observed during unexpected events. We show practical value of observing a entire cut-set...

Electrical power infrastructure for modern rolling stock with regard to the railway in Poland

Implementing high-speed trains on Polish railway lines requires a new approach to the issue of power and energy supply via a 3 kV DC power system. Due to the control systems used, modern rolling stock equipped with async...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP190587
  • DOI 10.5604/08669546.1169209
  • Views 95
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Kiarash Ghasemlou, Metin Mutlu Aydin, Mehmet Sinan Yıldırım (2015). Prediction of pedal cyclists and pedestrian fatalities from total monthly accidents and registered private car numbers. Archives of Transport, 34(2), 29-35. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-190587