Research on China's funds outstanding for foreign exchange Fluctuation and Monetary Policy Adjustment
Journal Title: International Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Invention - Year 2018, Vol 6, Issue 5
Abstract
In the context of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike process,This paper analyzes the impact mechanism of funds outstanding for foreign exchange account on domestic base currency investment.The structural VAR model empirically tests the relevant impact of funds outstanding for foreign exchange on domestic money supply and monetary policy. The empirical research results show that:First, the increase in funds outstanding for foreign exchange will help push up the domestic broad money supply M2 and domestic credit scale, but have less impact on M2 and domestic credit scale fluctuations;Second, the monetary policy operation means such as the central bank's rediscounting and refinancing business can play a more effective regulatory role for domestic M2, which indicates that China's monetary policy has a strong macro adjustment effect.Third, compared with the level of attention of the domestic broad money M2, China's central bank is more focused on regulating the impact of funds outstanding for foreign exchange on China base currency.There has not been a fundamental change in China prudent monetary policy.
Authors and Affiliations
Jiashan Li
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