RESULTS OF FORECASTING INDICATORS OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE NATIONAL ECONOMY AS THE GROUND FOR ADMINISTRATIVE MANAGEMENT DECISIONS
Journal Title: ВЧЕНІ ЗАПИСКИ ТАВРІЙСЬКОГО НАЦІОНАЛЬНОГО УНІВЕРСИТЕТУ ІМЕНІ В.І. ВЕРНАДСЬКОГО СЕРІЯ: ЕКОНОМІКА ТА СУСПІЛЬСТВО - Year 2018, Vol 29, Issue 5
Abstract
The article is devoted to highlighting the results of forecasting indicators of development of the national economy as a system. It has been established that the implementation of forecasting involves the use of simulation methods, among which methods of analytical alignment and correlation-regression analysis. The predicted values of the indicators according to the parameters corresponding to developmental pulses, the target parameter of the functioning of the national economy and its other parameters are determined. The normalized values of these indicators are calculated and the forecast value of the integral indicator of the development of the national economy as a system is determined. It is established that the obtained results are the basis for managerial decisions connected with the choice of the type of management drivers and the development of a strategy for managing the development of the national economy.
Authors and Affiliations
I. Kononova
Keywords
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- EP ID EP521375
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