The Art and Science of Modeling Decision-Making Under Severe Uncertainty

Journal Title: Decision Making in Manufacturing and Services - Year 2007, Vol 1, Issue 1

Abstract

For obvious reasons, models for decision-making under severe uncertainty are austere. Simply put, there is precious little to work with under these conditions. This fact highlights the great importance of utilizing in such cases the ingredients of the mathematical model to the fullest extent, which in turn brings under the spotlight the art of mathematical modeling. In this discussion we examine some of the subtle considerations that are called for in the mathematical modeling of decision-making under severe uncertainty in general, and worst-case analysis in particular. As a case study we discuss the lessons learnt on this front from the Info-Gap experience.

Authors and Affiliations

Moshe Sniedovich

Keywords

Related Articles

Ant Algorithm for AP-N Aimed at Optimization of Complex Systems

Assignment Problem (AP), which is well known combinatorial problem, has been studied extensively in the course of many operational and technical researches. It has been shown to be NP-hard for three or more dimensions an...

Advances in Cone-Based Preference Modeling for Decision Making with Multiple Criteria

Decision making with multiple criteria requires preferences elicited from the decision maker to determine a solution set. Models of preferences, that follow upon the concept of nondominated solutions introduced by Yu (19...

Hyperbolicity of systems describing value functions in differential games which model duopoly problems

Based on the Bressan and Shen approach ([2] or [7]), we present the extension of the class of non-zero sum dierential games for which value functions are described by a weakly hyperbolic Hamilton-Jacobi system. The consi...

Manpower Planning with Annualized Hours Flexibility: A Fuzzy Mathematical Programming Approach

We have considered the problem of annualized hours (AH) in workforce management. AH is a method of distributing working hours with respect to the demand over a year. In this paper, the basic Manpower planning problem wit...

Corrigendum to ”Extended Model Formulation of the Proportional Lot-Sizing and Scheduling Problem with Lost Demand Costs”

Amendment to Decision Making in Manufacturing and Services, vol. 5 (1–2), 2011, pp. 49–56

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP422896
  • DOI 10.7494/dmms.2007.1.2.111
  • Views 62
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Moshe Sniedovich (2007). The Art and Science of Modeling Decision-Making Under Severe Uncertainty. Decision Making in Manufacturing and Services, 1(1), 111-136. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-422896