Time Series Analysis And Forecasting For Air Pollution In Ankara: A Box-Jenkins Approach
Journal Title: Alphanumeric Journal - Year 2015, Vol 3, Issue 2
Abstract
Despite the existing public and government measures for monitoring and controling of air quality in Ankara, in many regions, air quality is not satisfactory. In this paper, PM10 data obtained from Monitoring and controlling of air quality station of Environment and Urban Ministry in Ankara-Sıhhiye. PM10 is a mixture of solid particles and liquid droplets suspended in the atmosphere, which is an abbreviation of particulate matter. This representation contains many pollutants, such as fossil fuels, waste and secondary aerosols, dust and smoke. PM10 leads to many health problems including asthmaand premature death.Time series analysis was implemented to the PM10 data by using Box-Jenkins Methodology and the potential future value of PM10 was forecasted consequently in the future PM10 values will be as high as the past values in Sıhhiye, Ankara.
Authors and Affiliations
Duygu Turgut, İzzetin Temiz
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP196272
- DOI 10.17093/aj.2015.3.2.5000148347
- Views 114
- Downloads 0
Some Robust Estimation Methods and Their Applications
This study examines robust regression methods which are used for the solution of problems caused by the situations in which the assumptions of LSM technique, which is commonly used for the prediction of linear regression...
Analysis of Volvo IT’s Closed Problem Management Processes By Using Process Mining Software ProM and Disco
In this study, the event logs for closed problems which was created by Volvo IT Belgium for the Business Process Intelligence Challenge in 2013 are evaluated by using Process Mining software. One of these software (ProM)...
Determinants of Mobile Penetration to Forecast New Broadband Adoption: OECD Case
This paper aims to analyze relationship between Mobile penetration and various indicators of communication infrastructure throughout OECD countries. Panel data is utilized for the purpose of this study. In order to contr...
Evaluation of Personel E-Commerce Applications with Categorical Data Analysis Methods
Categorical Data Analysis Methods, a collection of methods used in the analysis of categorical data sets. Especially in the field of Social Sciences, categorical data sets commonly used in studies is usually nominal, ord...
Money - Physical Capital Nexus: How Valid Is McKinnon Complementarity Hypothesis In Turkish Economy?
According to theory of financial liberalization that emphasizes money and physical capital complementarity, increase in real interest rate following liberalization leads to money demand and investment. Validity of this a...