Abstract

The present study is going to examine the trends and variability in the growth of summer paddy in the Chhattisgarh. For the analysis, the relevant secondary data from 2000-01 to 2015-16 have been examined. The trend values were computed by OLS method by applying linear trend line equation while compound growth rate has been estimated with the help of exponential function and the variability by using the technique of coefficient of variation for convenience of comparison. The trend values for area, production, and productivity record that the cultivated area under summer paddy is increasing in all the agro-climatic zones (except northern hills zone) and in the state. However, production and productivity of summer rice in all the zones (except Bastar Plateau zone in the case of productivity) and in whole Chhattisgarh has been increasing during the period of study. The study concludes that a highly significant growth has been observed in case of area and production of summer rice in Chhattisgarh plains zone and in the state. Chhattisgarh plains zone held the largest share i.e. 90.69 to 97.96 per cent of the total cultivated area and 89.58 to 98.88 per cent of total production of summer rice in the state with higher productivity level. In regards to variability, the study concludes that there persist wide fluctuations in the growth of area, production, and productivity of summer rice over the study period in most of the zones and in the state. Increase in production was mainly due to significant increases in area under summer paddy cultivation.

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