ARDL Method: Forecasting Data Kemiskinan di NTB

Journal Title: JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) - Year 2019, Vol 3, Issue 1

Abstract

This study aims to predict data on the number of poor people in the Province of West Nusa Tenggara (NTB) in 2019 by using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. This type of research is quantitative research. Data used from 2002-2018. With MAD, MSE, MRSE and MAPE error parameters. Based on the data simulation results obtained in 2019 prediction results the number of poor people at NTB is 718,059 people, with MAD value of 4,040,26667, MSE of 1,943,057,717, MRSE of 44,080,1284 and MAPE of 3%.

Authors and Affiliations

Aulia Rahmasari, Eka Hawari Sunani, Miftahul Jannah, Fathulaili Fathulaili, Linda Kurnia, Ahmad Satria

Keywords

Related Articles

Pengembangan Model Pembelajaran Matematika untuk Mahasiswa Teknik Informatika STMIK Bumigora Mataram

Mathematics becomes the lesson that is considered still tends to be difficult to understand. Facts and reality, mathematics remains the basis for some science in other fields. One area of science that is built on the bas...

Hubungan Antara Self-Confidence Mahasiswa dengan Kemampuan Pemahaman Matematis Dalam Perkuliahan Kapita Selekta Matematika IV

The aim of the research is to explore the relationship between students’ self confidence and mathematics comprehension. This research is conducted in mathematics education program in Galuh University. The participant of...

Hubungan antara Kemampuan Penalaran dengan Komunikasi Matematis Terhadap Pretasi Belajar Matematika

This study aims to determine: the relationship between the ability of reasoning with mathematical communication on student learning achievement mathematics. This research uses quantitative descriptive method. The sample...

Penerapan Lesson Study Untuk Meningkatkan Self-Concept Mahasiswa Pada Mata Kuliah Konsep Dasar Matematika

The main purpose of this research is to raise self concept through lesson study for college student of teacher training on elementary school basic concept mathematics 1st semester at STKIP-PGRI Lubuklinggau. The method o...

Pemahaman Konsep Siswa pada Materi Bangun Datar Terhadap Hasil Belajar Dimensi Tiga

This research aims to find out how much impact the students' conceptual understanding of the material is flat on the learning outcomes of the three dimensions of class X MA. Hidayatul Muhsinin Labulia. This study uses a...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP502023
  • DOI 10.31764/jtam.v3i1.767
  • Views 169
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Aulia Rahmasari, Eka Hawari Sunani, Miftahul Jannah, Fathulaili Fathulaili, Linda Kurnia, Ahmad Satria (2019). ARDL Method: Forecasting Data Kemiskinan di NTB. JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika), 3(1), 52-57. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-502023