Математическое моделирование процесса принятия решений с учетом уровня компетентности менеджера проекта
Journal Title: Математичне моделювання - Year 2017, Vol 1, Issue 2
Abstract
MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF THE DECISION-MAKING PROCESS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE LEVEL OF COMPETENCE OF THE PROJECT MANAGER A.I. Mazurkevich, V.U. Hrygorenko, S.V. Antonenko Abstract According to the research of the Association of Project Managers of the UK for the project manager, the most important characteristics are the understanding of the project (88% of respondents), communication skills (81%), decision-making (69%). Procedures for the formation of the system objectives, options for their implementation, models, criteria can not usually be fully formalized. There arises the problem of creating a special decision-making method in conditions of uncertainty, taking into account the personal characteristics of the person making the decision, and sufficiently simple to process and comprehend the initial data and results obtained during the implementation of this method. The aim of the study is to develop a mathematical model (algorithm) for decision-making that meets all the above requirements. The decision-making process can occur with varying degrees of awareness of the decision-maker. When modeling real systems, situations can arise where the decision-maker does not have a clear idea of the relation of preference between all or some alternatives, and one can only estimate the degree of fulfillment of a preference relation between pairs of alternatives in the form of a number in the interval [ 0; 1]. It is proposed to supplement the corresponding algorithm based on the personal characteristics of the decision maker. For this, the work of A. Blinov on the logical prerequisite for decision-making, supplemented by the information approach to the emotions of P.V. Simonov. The authors developed a mathematical method of decision-making, taking into account the level of competence of the decision-maker, which makes it possible to link alternative and competence approaches to the management of projects and programs in a single system. The method also makes it possible to reduce the level of inaccuracy of expert assessments in the analysis of various aspects of the project or program, allows to simulate possible versions of the adopted decision for decision-makers with different levels of competence. The main prospect for the development of this direction is the algorithmization of the method, with respect to the creation of a computer algorithm and a program implementing this method. References [1] Bushuyev S. D. Upravleniye proyektami: osnovy prof. znaniy i sistema otsenki kompetentnosti proyekt. menedzherov (National Competence Baseline, NCB UA Version 3.1) / S. D. Bushuyev, N.S. Bushuyeva. – Izd. 2-ye .– K.: ÍRÍDÍUM, 2010. [2] Rach V.A. Ídentifíkatsíya kompetentností v sferí upravlínnya proyektami / V.A. Rach, O.V. Biryukov// Upravlínnya proyektami ta rozvitok virobnitstva. Zbírnik naukovikh prats'. Píd red. V.A. Rach. Lugans'k: Vid-vo SNU ím.. Dalya, 2006. № 1 (21), pp. 143–159. [3] Pinto Dzh. K. Upravleniye proyektami. Per. s angl./ Pod red. V.N. Funtova SPb.: Piter, 2004. [4] Upravleniye proyektami /G. Ditkhelm. T. 2. Per s nem. SPb: Biznes pressa. 2003. [5] Funtov V.N. Osnovy upravleniya proyektami v koma-nii – SPb.: Piter, 2008. [6] Matvíí̈shin Ê. G. Planuvannya proyektnikh díy. K.: «Khay-Tek Pres», 2008. [7] Antonenko S.V. Psikhologíya osobistostí v upravlínní proyektami: Navchal'no-metodichniy posíbnik / S.V. Antonenko, V.V. Maliy, O.Í. Mazurkevich. Dnípropetrovs'k: Porogi, 2008. [8] Proyektnyy Menedzhment dlya proyektno-oriyentirovannykh kompaniy// Kompetentnost', 2004. [9] Golubkov Ye.P. Tekhnologiya prinyatiya upravlenche-skikh resheniy. M,: «Delo i Servis», 2005. [10] Zaychenko YU.P. Issledovaniye operatsiy /YU.P. Zaychenko. K.: «Slovo», 2003. [11] Mazurkevich A.I. Postroyeniye strategii proyekta na osnove analiza yego vazhneyshikh sobytiy // Upravlínnya proyektami ta rozvitok virobnitstva. Zbírnik naukovikh prats'. Píd red. V.A. Rach. Lugans'k: Vid-vo SNU ím.. Dalya, 2003, № 1 (6), pp. 52–57. [12] Trifonov I.V. Algoritm vybora al'ternativ pri nalichii mnogikh kriteriyev optimal'nosti/ I.V. Trifonov, A.I. Mazurkevich//IX Mezhdunarodnaya nauchno-prakticheskaya konferentsiya «Sovremennyye informatsionnyye tekhnologii v ekonomike i uprav-lenii predpriyatiyami, programmami i proyektami», Alushta, 12 – 18 sentyabrya 2011 g. Khar'kov: Natsional'nyy aerokosmicheskiy universitet im. N. Ye. Zhukovskogo «KHAI», 2011, pp. 234–235. [13] Orlovskiy S.A. Problemy prinyatiya resheniy pri nechetkoy iskhodnoy informatsii/ predisl. N.N. Moi-seyeva / S.A. Orlovskiy. M.: Nauka, 1981. [14] Blinov A.L. Logicheskiye usloviya emotsional'nogo povedeniya//Ratsional'nost' i semiotika povedeniya. Materialy nauchno-metodologicheskogo seminara po problemam logiki, psikhologii i semiotiki deyatel'nosti. K.: IF AN USSR, 1988, pp. 19–20. [15] Subotin A.I. K vyrazheniyu emotsii v semantike //Ratsional'nost' i semiotika povedeniya. Materialy nauchno-metodologicheskogo seminara po problemam logiki, psikhologii i semiotiki deyatel'nosti. K.: IF AN USSR, 1988, pp. 18–19. [16] Upravlínnya proyektami: natsíonal'ní osoblivostí / [Maliy V.V., Mazurkevich O.Í., Molokanova V.M., Antonenko S.V., Karmazína L.L.]: Monografíya. Dnípropetrovs'k: ÍMA-pres, 2008. [17] Upravlínnya proyektami/ Píd red. S.K. Chernova i V.V. Malogo: Navchal'niy posíbnik, – Mikolaí̈v, NUK, 2010.
Authors and Affiliations
А. И. Мазуркевич, В. У. Григоренко, С. В. Антоненко
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP276927
- DOI -
- Views 65
- Downloads 0
Использование метода главных компонент для кластеризации изображений лиц
USE PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS TO CLUSTERING IMAGES OF FACES Shumeiko A.A., Bratuta M. Abstract The range of tasks considered in image processing (Image Processing) is quite large, and among them an important role is...
Математичне моделювання процесів діагностики залишкових напружень в зварних з'єднаннях труб великих діаметрів
MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF THE PROCESSES OF DIAGNOSTICS OF THE OUTDOOR DEFINITIONS IN THE HARVEST DOWN TUBES OF THE GREAT DIAMETER Kadilnikov S.V. Abstract Analysis of the state of the pipe market over the last decade has...
Математическая модель тепло- и массопереноса в первом периоде сушки плоского слоя дисперсного материала
The analytical method for calculating the temperature field and the kinetics of evaporation of moisture during drying heat "massive" flat layer of moist particulate material.
Математическая модель тепловой работы ошлакованной футеровки стен конвертера при взаимодействии ее с расплавом в ходе кислородной продувки
MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE THERMAL PERFORMANCE OF THE LINING OF THE CONVERTER’S WALLS, WHICH IS COVERED WITH SLAG, AT ITS INTERACTION WITH THE MELT DURING OXYGEN BLOWING Panteikov S.P., Panteikova E.S. The oxygen conve...
Компьютерное моделирование теплового состояния системы "гарнисаж-футеровка" с учетом неравномерности ее толщины
COMPUTER MODELING OF THE THERMAL STATE OF THE SYSTEM "SLAG SKULL-LINING" TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE UNEVENNESS OF ITS THICKNESS Sigarev E.N., Sokol A.N., Nedbailo N.N. Abstract Formulation of the problem The development of...