MODELING OF COST ESTIMATION OF PREVENTIVE STRATEGIES FOR REDUCING THE SPREAD OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Journal Title: Молодий вчений - Year 2018, Vol 4, Issue 56
Abstract
The article deals with the construction of economic and mathematical model estimation of costs of prevention strategies (vaccination and quarantine) to prevent epidemics and reduce spread of infections in case of population is based on networks. The model includes such factors as: the heterogeneity of contacts in society, the epidemic threshold, the minimum necessary fraction of the population that needs to be vaccinated. The model is based on the well-known SIR model, and the auxiliary network model is constructed to reflect the heterogeneity of the contacts. Parameters of managing: quarantine coverage and vaccination coverage. They are defined by functions for next logical reasons: the distribution of the vaccine is influenced by a market economy; quarantine is solely the prerogative of the government and is used for preventing the outbreak of the epidemic. Results are presented for different scenarios of using vaccination and quarantine: nothing is used, separately and together.
Authors and Affiliations
L. Y. Halchinsky, A. V. Pushko
Keywords
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