The limiting distributions of extremes in the warring forecasts of the water levels
Journal Title: Zarządzanie i Finanse - Year 2013, Vol 11, Issue 3
Abstract
In this work the approach to the warning forecast which use the distributions of extreme values was presented. For modeling extreme values the parametric family of distributions functions of extreme distributions was used. As tools for graphic presentation of empirical maximum distributions we have used the graph of empirical distribution function and kernel densities. The researches were experimented for the real data of the water levels on the Nysa Kłodzka river on the Lower Silesia. In the article the definition of the probabilistic warning forecast was introduced. Using selected theoretical distribution function of the maxima of water level, the probabilistic warning forecast for the warning and alarm were calculated.
Authors and Affiliations
Łukasz Kuźmiński
Keywords
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