Scenario Planning for Processes of Reproduction of Fixed Assets of Industrial Enterprises
Journal Title: Бізнес Інформ - Year 2015, Vol 9, Issue 0
Abstract
The article is aimed to develop organizational-methodical bases of scenario planning for processes of reproduction of fixed assets and their practical application at industrial enterprises. The necessity of using the contemporary methods of strategic management and, first of all, of methods scenario planning, has been reasoned. On the basis of generalization of the approaches, described in the scientific works of Ukrainian and foreign authors, the contents and features of scenario planning for economic processes has been determined. The main stages of scenario planning have been elaborated and a list of activities that should result from actions at each stage has been provided. In determining the procedural side of the scenario simulation, substantial features of reproduction of fixed assets have been taken into account. As a basis for development of the scenario served analysis indicators of the processes of reproduction, determined for a particular machine-building enterprise. On the basis of the results of a regression analysis of the retrospective indicators were obtained the equations, which can be used in the process of forecasting. Also three scenarios for development of reproductive processes in the enterprise have been elaborated: basic, pessimistic and optimistic - that can be differed through dynamics of the key indicators. The proposed scripts provide an opportunity to identify the promising indicators and to assess the scope of reproductive processes in the enterprise.
Authors and Affiliations
Ievgeniia Oliinyk
Keywords
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