Innumeracy and incentives: A ratio bias experiment Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Donald Dale, Jeffrey Rudski, Adam Schwartz and Eric Smith Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
The retrospective gambler’s fallacy: Unlikely events, constructing the past, and multiple universes Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Daniel M. Oppenheimer and Benoit Monin Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
From group diffusion to ratio bias: Effects of denominator and numerator salience on intuitive risk and likelihood judgments Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Paul C. Price and Teri V. Matthews Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Learning to communicate risk information in groups Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Hsuchi Ting and Thomas S. Wallsten Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
A methodological approach to ratio bias Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Gabriella Passerini, Laura Macchi and Maria Bagassi Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Inferring uncertainty from interval estimates: Effects of alpha level and numeracy Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Luke F. Rinne and Michele M. M. Mazzocco Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Subjective integration of probabilistic information from experience and description Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Yaron Shlomi Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Welton Chang, Eva Chen, Barbara Mellers and Philip Tetlock Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Yiyun Shou and Fei Song Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Using Tversky’s contrast model to investigate how features of similarity affect judgments of likelihood Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Mirta Galesic, A. Walkyria Goode, Thomas S. Wallsten and Kent L. Norman Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Weighted Brier score decompositions for topically heterogenous forecasting tournaments Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Edgar C. Merkle and Robert Hartman Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Comparative evaluation of the forecast accuracy of analysis reports and a prediction market Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Bradley J. Stastny and Paul E. Lehner Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Boosting intelligence analysts’ judgment accuracy: What works, what fails? Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: David R. Mandel, Christopher W. Karvetski and Mandeep K. Dhami Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences