The catering theory of dividends on the US stock markets

Journal Title: Zarządzanie i Finanse - Year 2013, Vol 11, Issue 2

Abstract

 Fama and French [Fama, French, 2001] document that the proportion of dividend-paying firms has been declining in the United States since 1960s. Baker and Wurgler [Baker, Wurgler, 2004a, 2004b, 2012] suggest that these appearing and disappearing dividends are an out-come of firms catering to transient fads for dividend paying stocks. We revisit the problem and add to the discussion in several ways. Firstly, we exclude from our sample small market capitalization and low-profitability companies. We argue that those small companies have limited capacity to run a dividend policy targeted at catering temporal preferences of investors, and at the same time they are highly sensitive to other valuation factors. Secondly, we assume that managers of non-paying firms need a full year to observe and to react to misevaluation of dividend payers, and to initiate dividend payments in their own firms. Thirdly, we investigate if the number of dividend payers is significantly greater in periods when the market performance was particularly disappointing. After excluding the small capitalization and low profitability firms, we confirm in our sample that the proportion of dividend-payers has been declining over the years. Parallel, we document general tendency of decreasing dividend premium. We attribute the short-term volatility in dividend premium to changes in investor sentiment. We show that managers tend to cater to those changes, however with a delay. We find statistically significant positive correlation between the value of dividend premium in a given year and the proportion of dividend-payers in the next year. We find no preferences of investors for the dividend paying companies in years of poor market performance.

Authors and Affiliations

Przemysław Konieczka, Adam Szyszka

Keywords

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  • EP ID EP136688
  • DOI -
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How To Cite

Przemysław Konieczka, Adam Szyszka (2013).  The catering theory of dividends on the US stock markets. Zarządzanie i Finanse, 11(2), 175-188. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-136688