ПРОГНОЗУВАННЯ: МЕТОДИ, КРИТЕРІЇ ТА СПОРТИВНИЙ РЕЗУЛЬТАТ
Journal Title: Спортивний вісник Придніпров'я - Year 2019, Vol 1, Issue 1
Abstract
Forecasting today discover as a way to predict the development of sports achievement. The main task of forecasting is to identify the probabilistic development of a particular phenomenon. Sports forecasting is an important task for athletes, coaches and specialists. The purpose of the study is to analyze current trends in the prediction of sports results based on literary sources. Analyzed works are grouped according to the criteria that are used to predict a sports result. The most popular criteria is the analysis of previous sports results and parameters of competitive activity. This criterion is used to predict upcoming results and short term. The sporting result is seen as a criterion for selecting and forecasting future results in the medium and long term. The interrelation of results of performances at different age stages is shown. To predict sports results, we use such indicators of competitive activity: indicators of attack, defense, performance, interaction between players and others. The second group criteria for predicting a sports result are indicators of athletes’ performances and their dynamics. The most used indicators are physical, technical, tactical and psychological aspects of athletes. The next group is indicators of the body development: biological, anthropometric, physiological. The last group covers such criteria as the location of the competition, travelling, and the presence of spectators. Home arena has a positive impact on the result of playing in team sports. However, athletes in individual sports have an additional psychological impact and some are not able to cope with it. These criteria are mainly used in a complex and inseparable manner. Sports are grouped into groups depending on the general approach to forecasting: team sports and sports games; sports with a metric result measurement system; difficult coordination sports; martial arts. Prospects for further research are outlined - to analyze the performances of athletes-martial artists in recent years at the international level and to identify the relationship of success performances at cadet, junior and adult competitions. Create profiles of athletes’ performances, depending on the level of competition.
Authors and Affiliations
Микола Латишев, Олег Квасниця, Олена Спесивих, Ірина Квасниця
Keywords
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- EP ID EP580508
- DOI 10.32540/2071-1476-2019-1-039
- Views 54
- Downloads 0
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